COLOMBO, (EconomyNext) - President Maithripala Sirisena's sudden indisposition during the New Year holidays had politicians on both sides of the House considering a potentially serious constitutional bombshell.
The possibility of the Rajapaksa family making a come back, not just as members of parliament, but even as political masters of the country till 2021 has emerged a real possibility. Mahinda Rajapaksa could return as president through an entirely legal process.
Official sources say that President Sirisena was under the weather over the weekend after hectic shuttling between Colombo - Polonnaruwa and attending the funeral of the Asgiriya chief prelate. He only needed rest and there was nothing serious.
Although the 63-year-old Sirisena appeared to be in good health, his sudden illness raised questions among politicians about Article 38 of the constitution regarding the vacation of the highest office in the country.
It might be premature to discuss the vacation of office by the president, but if Article 38 does come into operation, the will of the people as expressed through the January 8 election could be turned on its head and democracy subverted through a skewed, but legal, process.
In the event Article 38 becomes operational in the present situation, the Prime Minister, at the moment Ranil Wickremesinghe, will automatically become President with the operation of Article 40 (1) / (a) for a maximum period of one month.
Within that period, a secret ballot will have to be taken in the 225-member parliament to elect one among them as the president to serve the balance term of the president. In this case, that would be till 2021.
With Ranil Wickremesinghe's United National Party having only 42 members on its own, it is highly questionable if the current Prime Minister will enjoy an absolute majority in a parliament that does not reflect President Sirisena's January mandate.
The current parliament represents the mandate Mahinda Rajapaksa received in January 2010 and he can still count on the support of a considerable section of the SLFP.
Rajapaksa loyalists could still bring him back to parliament. He cannot be brought into parliament through the national list because his name did not figure in it at the 2010 elections, but there is another way.
For example, if all eight candidates of the UPFA, including the four elected MPs from the Moneragala district were to step down, then an outsider could be nominated. This is how Nihal Galappatti entered parliament from the Hambantota district in 1994 as a member of the SLPF, a front of the JVP.
Even if a legal challenge keeps Mahinda Rajapaksa away from parliament before the one month presidential election is held, eldest brother Chamal Rajapaksa could step into the fray and, on taking the top job, could call a fresh election with younger brother Mahinda as PM candidate.
At that stage, the SLFP and the Rajapaksas may be amenable to transfer executive powers of the president to a prime minister.
Either way, the Rajapaksas could, in theory, be governing the country till January 2021.
A hale and hearty Sirisena would be back at work this week and is due to attend a national ceremony marking traditional oil anointing, but it may not stop some politicians licking their chops while making others very nervous.
Unless the government moves for a quick election to secure a mandate that is in line with the will of the people as expressed at the January presidential election, the New Year will usher more uncertainty.
The relevant constitutional provisions could be found here: see Articles 38 and 40.
Full letter:
Honorable President Maithripala Sirisena,
Honorable Prime Minister Ranil Wickramasinghe,
Honorable Prime Minister Ranil Wickramasinghe,
This letter comes forth as a request from a citizen who believes in a political philosophy and a resulting culture, which disfavor party politics, but rather upholds the progress of the country above all else.
My honest feeling is that the victory we achieved on 8th January, under your leadership, is a remarkable collective political victory of all Sri Lankans. As a sportsman and a member of the cricket world cup winning team in the year 1996, I am proud to have become a stakeholder of that political victory as well. I served as a frontline combatant against the authoritarian rule and family based politics of the Rajapaksa’s, ignoring personal benefits and even ignoring the life threats I received; I put my country’s welfare before my own. The great joy and enthusiasm I experienced at the victory secured on 8th January is far more than what I experienced on the day Sri Lanka gained victory at the 1996 cricket world cup.
My honest feeling is that the victory we achieved on 8th January, under your leadership, is a remarkable collective political victory of all Sri Lankans. As a sportsman and a member of the cricket world cup winning team in the year 1996, I am proud to have become a stakeholder of that political victory as well. I served as a frontline combatant against the authoritarian rule and family based politics of the Rajapaksa’s, ignoring personal benefits and even ignoring the life threats I received; I put my country’s welfare before my own. The great joy and enthusiasm I experienced at the victory secured on 8th January is far more than what I experienced on the day Sri Lanka gained victory at the 1996 cricket world cup.
Honorable President and Honorable Prime Minister, the memories of the defeated regime are of resentment and of a apprehension. One family, through their narcissistic and immoral rule, has enjoyed our national resources without limit or control. Their will was to consume all the existing resources up to the limits of the sky, the earth and the ocean of the motherland. The will of the family suppressed the will of all Sri Lankans. The country was paralyzed by many forms of fear and violence, even though the war on terror had ended. Personally, as a member of the parliament, I experienced tremendous amount of pressure and frustration during that time of political rule. On reflecting on the situation of the general public during that period, it is evident that the stress and violence the past regime unleashed upon the general public was severe and consequently had reached a tipping point both for the oppressor and the oppressed by the time of the elections. On the 1st of December at Viharamahadewi Park, we signed a collective agreement which pledged an end to this dark age, prompting a positive future not only for us but also for the generations to come with the support and participation of various political parties and civil society collectives, disregarding all internal contradictions. Coincidently, the 1st of December is my birthday. It was remarkable that I had the opportunity to lay the foundation for the Maithri era that gathered different political parties and movements on one platform for one cause and for one challenge on a day that is very close to my heart.
Honorable President, Honorable Prime Minister, on the 8th of January we established a milestone of a beginning of an ideal era in the history of Sri Lankan politics. There is yet on the one hand the great task of rebuilding the country, which was misdirected by family rule and family business. On the other hand, there is also the great challenge of the political parties and movements working together. We must also not forget that there are political conspiracies and maneuvers, as expected, to paralyze our march forward and to bring back ‘the family’ into the power. The distress I have right now is that the partners and masterminds of that ongoing conspiracy are not outside but amongst us. The henchmen who became the backscratchers of the defeated regime, casino owners who looted and misused public money openly, heroine and ethanol dealers, black market dealers and dealmakers are now changing their moves. Now disguised in new outfits, their attempt is to get close to you and to continue their same manipulative behavior. I kindly ask you not to be deceived by them. The real call of the hour is to view the situation with a discerning eye, leading us to make right choices.
Honorable President, Honorable Prime Minister, in my view the upcoming election is critical in many ways. I believe more than all the other factors, the upcoming election is crucial for the future of our country. The entire future of the 8th January victory can be determined by the results of the upcoming election. Therefore, I kindly request you not to permit nominations for casino/ betting centre owners, gambling agents, heroine- ethanol and black market dealers and other fraudulent persons for the upcoming election. Furthermore, on the foundation of the same argument, I kindly request you not to grant nominations for opportunistic and corrupt persons who cross over from major parties when they are not able to secure nominations; in their own parties. I honestly believe Honorable President, that you as the Chairperson of the Sri Lanka Freedom Party, and Honorable Prime Minister, you as the leader of the United National Party, are capable of standing this request favorably.
Honorable President, Honorable Prime Minister, on the 8th of January we established a milestone of a beginning of an ideal era in the history of Sri Lankan politics. There is yet on the one hand the great task of rebuilding the country, which was misdirected by family rule and family business. On the other hand, there is also the great challenge of the political parties and movements working together. We must also not forget that there are political conspiracies and maneuvers, as expected, to paralyze our march forward and to bring back ‘the family’ into the power. The distress I have right now is that the partners and masterminds of that ongoing conspiracy are not outside but amongst us. The henchmen who became the backscratchers of the defeated regime, casino owners who looted and misused public money openly, heroine and ethanol dealers, black market dealers and dealmakers are now changing their moves. Now disguised in new outfits, their attempt is to get close to you and to continue their same manipulative behavior. I kindly ask you not to be deceived by them. The real call of the hour is to view the situation with a discerning eye, leading us to make right choices.
Honorable President, Honorable Prime Minister, in my view the upcoming election is critical in many ways. I believe more than all the other factors, the upcoming election is crucial for the future of our country. The entire future of the 8th January victory can be determined by the results of the upcoming election. Therefore, I kindly request you not to permit nominations for casino/ betting centre owners, gambling agents, heroine- ethanol and black market dealers and other fraudulent persons for the upcoming election. Furthermore, on the foundation of the same argument, I kindly request you not to grant nominations for opportunistic and corrupt persons who cross over from major parties when they are not able to secure nominations; in their own parties. I honestly believe Honorable President, that you as the Chairperson of the Sri Lanka Freedom Party, and Honorable Prime Minister, you as the leader of the United National Party, are capable of standing this request favorably.
Honorable President, Honorable Prime Minister, remarkably for the first time in the Sri Lankan political history, today both of you are able to move all parties and people in the North and the South towards one destined objective. Even though both of you belong to two different political parties and ideologies, today you are able to make decisions collectively; important issues have been resolved as a result of this key alliance, understanding and leadership. Accordingly, I kindly request you to make decisions and to take action on the matter I have emphasized. For the betterment of the country, both of you have been given the honorable duty of restricting opportunists and corrupt individuals from entering into the country’s political sphere. I believe it is meaningful to introduce criteria and guidelines for the process of permitting nominations, which cover all political parties. Today, we must not ask people to select “good” people as politicians, but provide the opportunity for people to select the “best” people from good candidates. That duty is mainly entrusted personally, to the good reasoning powers of the two of you and dependent upon the power vested in your supreme designations. I believe that in the upcoming parliamentary election this would be one of the best ways to defeat the opportunists and corrupt persons. Finally, I kindly request you not to let the victory and opportunity we achieved on 8thJanuary be diminished and wasted. I strongly believe that this step will sustain and add true meaning to the victory of the common people and pave way to a civilized constructive political culture that would ensure a great future to our motherland.
May the Triple Gem bless you!
Yours sincerely,
Arjuna Ranatunga